During
the past couple of months, the military option against Iran – including attacks
on its nuclear facilities – has showed up in headlines around the world,
especially after the controversial report on Iran’s nuclear energy program by
the Director General of the IAEA in the November 2011 meeting of the Agency’s
governing council. The logic and quality of such an attack have been debated
and questioned by policymakers as well as analysts. The consensus in all these
debates is that any military attack on Iran will have disastrous consequence at
the regional and global levels, especially at this juncture; triggering a plethora
of conflicts, shaking traditional balances of power and increasing strategic
ambiguities and a host of economic and financial crises. In this tense context,
one of the most striking questions would be "what are the intentions
behind a military attack on Iran?"
In
response, one needs to discern between a military attack as
"discourse" and a military attack as an "action".
Discourse relates to action so it may be conceived to be the prelude to any
physical assault. However, discourse and action in regards to a military attack
on Iran have their own autonomous spaces, rationales and players. A common
element in both, which serves as the intellectual linkage, is the intention. Be
it discourse, a prelude to action or need for a military attack, it is highly
important to identify and deconstruct the intentions of these actors who
design, fuel and lead the military option. There is no secret that though not
being the lone player in this game, Israel remains the most active one. Israeli
intentions are multilayered, responding to simultaneous emotional, political
and strategic needs and calculus.
Domestically,
Israel, suffering from polarization and radicalization of the very deferential
concepts of "who is a Jew" and "who is an Israeli" - in the
eyes of the ruling right-wing elites - can be reconstituted by using an
external power to defuse the undeniable cracks in its structural cause. Thus,
an attack on Iran, in the domestic politics of Israel, seems to be a remedy to
cure open national wounds of unbridgeable divides in ethnicity, religiosity,
identity and loss of meaning. Regionally, Israel by all indices and measures,
is the loser of the Islamic awakening the Arab Spring. The days when Mubarak and Netanyahu, accompanied by their conservative Arab
elites, could discuss and design anti-Iranian scenarios have been replaced with
a political setting in which normalized relations between Iran and Egypt is a
matter that cannot be stopped. Furthermore, for the first time in the history
of Israel, the perception of its military might as absolute and invincible is
challenged by the emergence of new realities.
Globally,
nowadays, sympathy for the Palestinian people is at its height and support for
Israel is scarce, and only found in the American Congress, where Netanyahu gets
equal if not more standing ovations than the sitting U.S president.
Internationally, Israel’s actions and behavior are clearly known to be the most
tantalizing impediments to the fulfillment of the rights of the Palestinians as
well as the real source of instability in the Middle East. The number one
problem of this region is the plight of the Palestinians. Through a focus on
the imaginary threat of Iran and fanning the flames against the Islamic
Republic, Israel is trying to divert attention from and misplace the real
regional and global priorities.
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